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Unless you can point me to administration officials speaking in the name of the administration and declaring previously that Bin Laden was dead [...]
Its actual impact is going to be that it will be less easy for Republicans to present Obama as someone who is "weak" when it comes to national security. This would have happened regardless of the timing of the raid, even if it had happened one year ago.And that's why it's dumb to declare the raid happened now for election purposes - the same thing would be true (Obama not appearing weak in his handling of national security because he got Bin Laden) regardless of when the raid happened. The temporary bump Obama is getting in the polls now is, however, not going to last eighteen months.
Yeah it willIf you're talking about the bump in the polls that I just mentioned, then no it won't. Look up "rally around the flag effect", these bumps are typically short-lived and the elections are way too far in the future for this short-term effect to have any impact. For a recent example you can take a look at George H. W. Bush' approval ratings: they shot up after the success of operation Desert Storm, but this bump was long gone when the next presidential elections took place.
It's still essentially an election stunt, just a cleverly timed oneNo, it's not. You have absolutely _nothing_ to support your claim that it is an election stunt, and the timing of the raid is a clear indication of the opposite. You're only basing your claim on your personal distrust of and paranoia towards the government. The fact that it will be beneficial to Obama is not evidence that it is an election stunt, sorry.
Youve shown no real evidence as to why your pov would be correct even though you obviously believe it.Actually, you're the one making the claim (that they took out Bin Laden for election purposes), so the burden of proof lies with you. That IS how it works. Again, you have brought absolutely _nothing_ forward to support your claim.
That's just not how it works mate sorry.I don't need to defend myself unilaterally
Obviously i cant prove that unless i'n wikileaks 2.0, but neither can you disprove itGreat logic right there!
All you do is regurgitate pre chewed government crap and accept it for truth.Actually the rally around the flag effect is something that has been conceptualized by political scientists and international relations scholars. It's precisely the opposite of "government crap" because it is used to study how governments can profit electorally from crises. When it occurs, the effect is however typically short-lived, like I said.
And what i explained to you is how well timed actions can have more of an impact than on the doorstep of an election things. You seem to completely ignore that argument as well.That's not an argument, that's something that you just made up which has no basis in reality either. I already explained to you the two effects of the raid: one long-term (it is now hard for his opponents to depict Obama as someone who is weak when it comes to handling national security matters - this is a major "security" achievement for him) and one short-term (temporary bump in approval ratings). The raid happened too soon for the short-term effect to last until the election, and the long-term effect would have been there even if the raid had happened last year. In short, there is absolutely nothing noteworthy about the timing of the raid.
And as for 9/11, i'm divided 50/50 basicallyYeah... that does not speak well for you.
All you did in that comment was validate your own opinions without any real base yet again.That's a funny statement coming from you :)
how can you say the killing wont have a long term effect for example?I did say it would have a long-term effect. Are you even reading my comments?
I guess now we have to invade Pakistan. You know our policy on harboring terrorists (of course, it doesn't really apply when the harborer has nukes).
First in this one too.